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Shutdown KPIs

Shutdown KPIs: Formulas, Worked Examples and a Calculator

Short answer

Shutdown KPIs should cover cost and schedule with earned value measures (CV, CPI, SV, SPI, EAC), duration and scope growth against the baseline, and safety with both leading and lagging indicators. The formulas below come from the US GAO cost guide, BLS and NERC, with worked examples and a calculator.

There are no published benchmark values, so this page gives formulas and no target numbers.

How MaintWiz helps: You cannot improve what you measure after the shutdown ends. The MaintWiz shutdown module tracks earned value, cost and schedule indices and shows budget, actual and forecast cost in one view. See the module · Get the budget template

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What MaintWiz adds:Earned value and cost indicesBudget, actual and forecast costCost by project and packageCumulative spend

The set

Which KPIs should a shutdown track?

A shutdown should track cost and schedule using earned value measures, duration and scope growth against the baseline, and safety using both leading and lagging indicators. The earned value formulas below are the standard definitions in the US Government Accountability Office cost guide. 1

MaintWiz: bubble chart of schedule index against cost index for each project
Schedule and cost index by project. Each bubble is a project; below 1.0 is behind or over budget.

A KPI workbook that calculates these measures is in the shutdown planning templates. Earned value and index terms are defined in the shutdown turnaround glossary. Cost measures depend on a sound estimate: see how to estimate a shutdown budget.

BAC is the budget at completion, BCWS the planned value to date, BCWP the earned value and ACWP the actual cost. The cost and schedule numbers are the worked example from the budget guide: made-up units on day 5 of a 10-day job.

Shutdown KPIs: formula, unit, worked example and basis
KPIFormulaWorked exampleBasis
Cost variance (CV)BCWP - ACWP392 - 441 = -49 (over budget)GAO cost guide
Cost performance index (CPI)BCWP / ACWP392 / 441 = 0.89GAO cost guide
Schedule variance (SV)BCWP - BCWS392 - 435 = -43 (behind plan)GAO cost guide
Schedule performance index (SPI)BCWP / BCWS392 / 435 = 0.90GAO cost guide
Estimate at completion (EAC)ACWP + (BAC - BCWP) / CPI441 + (870 - 392) / 0.89 = about 979GAO cost guide
Duration variance, %(actual days - planned days) / planned days x 100(11 - 10) / 10 = 10%Working definition
Scope growth, %(final work scope - frozen scope) / frozen scope x 100(940 - 870) / 870 = 8.0%Working definition
Recordable injury ratecases x 200,000 / hours worked7 x 200,000 / 400,000 = 3.5BLS incidence rate
Planned outage factor (power plants)planned outage hours / period hours x 100%480 / 8,760 = 5.5%NERC GADS Appendix F
Permits issued with hazards and controls adequately specified, %permits judged adequate / permits sampled x 10047 / 50 = 94%Indicator example in HSE HSG254

The two "working definition" rows have no published standard; use them only if your team agrees the same terms in advance. See the full worked example in shutdown budget planning.

Calculator

Can you check your own shutdown numbers?

Yes: enter your planned value, earned value, actual cost, durations, scope and injury data, and the calculator returns the eight KPIs defined in the table above.

The shutdown calculator tools page lists all the calculators with their inputs. To test a savings claim against your own baseline, see shutdown program ROI. The measures applied to an invented stop: shutdown case study planned vs actual. A free Excel file for this page: KPI workbook (.xlsx).

Try it: shutdown KPI calculator

Replace the starting numbers, which are the made-up worked example, with your own. Nothing is sent or stored; the sums run in your browser.

Cost variance
Cost performance index
Schedule variance
Schedule performance index
Estimate at completion
Duration variance
Scope growth
Recordable injury rate

Software

Where should the KPI data come from?

KPI data should come from the same records that run the shutdown, so cost, progress and permits are measured once rather than re-typed into a report.

MaintWiz: close-out analytics on productivity, safety and comparison with earlier turnarounds
Close-out analytics. Productivity and safety against earlier turnarounds.

Common questions about the module are answered in the shutdown module FAQ. See digital shutdown management for what to digitize first.

About MaintWiz. MaintWiz is an industrial AI platform with IoT, SAP integration and predictive maintenance (PdM) capabilities. Its shutdown and turnaround module helps plants plan, schedule, execute and close out shutdown work.

Also: product data sheet.

What the shutdown module covers

As described on the MaintWiz shutdown maintenance product page.

  • Shutdown calendar and critical-path scheduling, with work order sequencing and dependencies
  • Asset prioritization, so the most critical equipment is scoped first
  • Resource planning for people, spares, heavy equipment such as cranes, and outsourced vendors
  • Electronic permits to work, risk management and contingency plans
  • Real-time progress monitoring: schedule adherence, cost variance, quality metrics and risk factors
  • Step-by-step checklists, pre-restart testing protocols and post-shutdown analysis

Reading them

How do you read the indexes and variances?

A CPI or SPI above 1.0 is favorable, below 1.0 is unfavorable, and a negative variance means over budget or behind plan. Earned value is only as reliable as the progress data behind it: GAO warns that percent-complete estimates are subjective, especially for long activities. 2

MaintWiz: earned value chart with planned value, earned value, actual cost and forecast methods
Earned value: planned, earned and actual cost. Earned value against plan and actual cost.

Float and critical path are worked by hand in critical path vs critical chain. For cost definitions, see planned vs unplanned shutdown cost. The schedule performance index is worked through in the shutdown S-curve and percent complete guide.

For example, GAO notes that 25 percent complete may be a viable estimate for a 4-day activity but is an ambiguous progress measure for a 50-day one. Break long jobs into short measurable steps. 2 GAO also cautions that earned value forecasts depend on reliable data and consistent baselines. 1

Index above 1.0

CPI or SPI > 1

The work cost less than planned (CPI) or progressed faster than planned (SPI).

Index below 1.0

CPI or SPI < 1

Over budget (CPI) or behind plan (SPI). At 0.89 CPI, each unit of earned value cost about 1.12 units.

Variance sign

negative = unfavorable

Cost and schedule variance are earned value minus actual or planned, so a negative number is bad news.

Benchmarks

Are there public benchmarks for shutdown KPIs?

There is no published benchmark for shutdown cost, schedule or safety performance, so this page gives formulas and no target values.

On what is and is not public for refinery turnarounds, see T&I turnaround and inspection planning. For one published benchmark source, EIA, see nuclear refueling outage durations and for what is not public see shutdown program ROI. For the cost measures that drive overrun, see why shutdowns go over budget. Your own history is the benchmark: S/4HANA migration and maintenance history.

The previous version of this page showed industry ranges with no source; they were removed. Comparing against peers needs matching definitions of what counts as scope, when the baseline was set and which hours are included, and published comparative data rarely says. The reliable comparison is your own previous shutdowns, measured the same way.

If you can share anonymized figures from your own shutdowns and the method behind them, those can be published here as a labeled sample with the period, sector and sample size.

Safety

Why not rely on injury rate alone?

Injury rate counts harm that has already happened and says little about whether process safety controls are working. The CSB found that reliance on BP Texas City's low personal injury rate gave a misleading picture of process safety. 6

For T&I examples see T&I turnaround and inspection planning.

HSE's process safety indicator guide pairs a leading indicator with a lagging indicator for each critical control, so the first shows gaps found in routine checks and the second shows failures that have occurred. 5 See shutdown safety plan for example indicators.

Cadence

How often should shutdown KPIs be reported?

Report a few operating measures every shift, the earned value indexes daily, cost forecasts weekly on long events, and the full set at close-out. The table is a working template, not a standard.

Who reviews the KPIs is set out in shutdown team roles and RACI.

When to report which KPI
WhenKPIsPurpose
Every shiftPermits live and adequately specified; planned vs actual progress on critical-path jobsSteer the day
DailySPI, CPI, forecast duration, scope changes approvedDecide at the daily meeting
Weekly (multi-week events)EAC against budget plus contingency, scope growth, recordable casesReport to management
At close-outFinal duration variance, scope growth, cost variance, injury rate, lessonsFeed the next shutdown

Daily mechanics are in shutdown progress tracking; the close-out review is in shutdown lessons learned.

Visuals

Save the KPI cards

Two cards to pin up in the shutdown office. Click either for the full-size version.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What KPIs should I use to measure a shutdown?

Cost variance and cost performance index, schedule variance and schedule performance index, estimate at completion, duration variance against the baseline, scope growth, recordable injury rate and leading safety indicators. The earned value formulas are defined in the GAO cost guide. 1

How do you calculate cost performance index?

CPI = earned value divided by actual cost (BCWP / ACWP). With 392 earned and 441 spent, CPI is 0.89. 1

How do you calculate schedule performance index?

SPI = earned value divided by planned value (BCWP / BCWS). With 392 earned and 435 planned, SPI is 0.90. 1

What is estimate at completion?

A forecast of final cost: actual cost to date plus the remaining budget divided by an efficiency index such as CPI. In the example, 441 + (870 - 392) / 0.89 is about 979. 1

How do you calculate the injury rate?

Recordable cases multiplied by 200,000 and divided by hours worked by all employees. Seven cases over 400,000 hours is 3.5. 3

What is planned outage factor?

In NERC GADS reporting for generating units, planned outage hours divided by period hours, times 100%. 480 planned outage hours in an 8,760-hour year is 5.5%. 4

Are there industry benchmarks for shutdown performance?

There is no published benchmark. Compare your own shutdowns, measured with the same definitions.

Why is injury rate not enough on its own?

Because it counts harm after the fact. The CSB found BP's low injury rate gave a misleading picture of process safety at Texas City, and HSE recommends pairing leading and lagging indicators. 6,5

See cost and schedule performance in one view

Book a demo and bring your shutdown budget. We will show earned value and forecast cost in the module.

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