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MaintWiz: Innovating Industrial AI

Shutdown ROI

Shutdown ROI: Formula, Benefits and Calculator

Short answer

Measure the return on a shutdown program by comparing its measured benefits with its full cost over a stated period. ROI is benefit minus cost, divided by cost; payback is cost divided by the yearly benefit. This guide lists the benefits worth counting and gives a calculator for your own numbers.

There is no published benchmark for shutdown program ROI, so every figure here is your own or an invented placeholder.

How MaintWiz helps: The case for better planning is stronger with your own numbers. The MaintWiz shutdown module tracks earned value, cost and schedule indices and shows budget, actual and forecast cost in one view. See the module · Get the budget template

By · Published · Last reviewed

What MaintWiz adds:Earned value and cost indicesBudget, actual and forecast costCost by project and packageCumulative spend

The formula

How do you measure the ROI of a shutdown program?

Measure the return on a shutdown program by comparing its measured benefits with its full cost over a stated period: ROI is the benefit minus the cost, divided by the cost, and payback is the cost divided by the yearly benefit.

For the cost side, see how to estimate a shutdown budget.

The arithmetic is simple; the hard part is deciding what counts as a benefit and proving it came from the program. Use the plant's own baseline from past stops, state the period, and include all costs: software, training, planning time and change effort.

Return on investment

ROI = (benefit - cost) / cost

The net gain as a share of what you spent, over a stated period. 0.5 means 50 percent.

Payback period

payback = cost / benefit per year

How long the benefit takes to repay the cost. State it in months or years.

Net benefit

net = benefit - cost

The gain in money. Useful beside the ratio, because a small program can show a high ratio and a small gain.

For the cost side of a stop see the budget planning guide and for the measures see the KPI guide.

The formulas are standard arithmetic. There is no published benchmark for the return on a shutdown program, so this page gives none.

Benefits

What benefits should a shutdown ROI count?

Count only benefits you can measure against a baseline from your own past stops: days of downtime, rework, overtime and contractor premium, emergent work, planner time and expediting costs.

For the cost components, see planned vs unplanned shutdown cost.

Benefits to count, and how to measure them
BenefitHow to measure itData you needCaution
Fewer days of downtimePlanned days minus actual days against your own past stopsSchedule actuals; value of a lost production day from financeCount only days saved by the program, not by a smaller scope
Less reworkHours or cost of re-done work against the past stopRework tags in work ordersNeeds a consistent rework definition
Less overtime and contractor premiumPremium hours or cost against the past stopTimesheets and contractor invoicesAdjust for scope size
Fewer emergent jobsEmergent work as a share of the scopeEmergent work logBetter scoping also lowers it; credit only what you can show
Planner and admin time savedHours saved on reports and updatesTime study or interviewSelf-reported estimates are weak; sample actual tasks
Parts and expediting costsRush freight and premium purchases against the past stopPurchasing recordsParts prices move; compare like with like

Put a plant-specific money value on a production day with your finance team. No public source gives a general value, and figures quoted elsewhere have no traceable basis. Why shutdowns go over budget explains the common cost drivers.

The table is a working template. Do not claim a benefit you cannot trace to a record.

Software

How does software help prove shutdown ROI?

Software supplies the baseline: planned against actual schedule, cost and hours for each stop are kept, so a program can be compared with the last stop on the same measures.

About MaintWiz. MaintWiz is an industrial AI platform with IoT, SAP integration and predictive maintenance (PdM) capabilities. Its shutdown and turnaround module helps plants plan, schedule, execute and close out shutdown work.

Planned for later releases: daily actual cost storage.

What the shutdown module covers

As described on the MaintWiz shutdown maintenance product page.

  • Earned value: planned, earned and actual cost with the cost and schedule indices
  • Budget, actual cost and forecast for each project
  • Planned against actual schedule with baselines that show what moved
  • Findings and emergent work logged per work order
  • Reports and the tables behind the charts export to Excel
  • Close-out and archive of past shutdowns for baselines

Calculator

Can you calculate a shutdown program ROI?

Yes: enter the days of downtime avoided, the value of a production day, other yearly benefits and the total program cost, and the calculator returns the yearly benefit, the net benefit, the ROI and the payback in months.

More tools are on the shutdown calculator tools page. A free Excel version is available: Shutdown program ROI workbook (.xlsx).

Try it: a worked ROI with your own numbers

Enter your own figures. The sample values are invented placeholders, not a benchmark. Nothing is sent or stored.

Yearly benefit70,000
Net benefit30,000
ROI75%
Payback6.9 months

With the invented defaults the yearly benefit is 70,000 (one day at 50,000 plus 20,000), the cost is 40,000, the ROI is 75 percent and the payback is about 6.9 months. Change every input to your own values before you use the result, and show the inputs next to the answer.

Caution

Why do shutdown ROI claims fail review?

ROI claims fail review when they have no baseline, change the scope, claim credit for several changes at once, ignore hidden costs or rest on unreliable data; the GAO cost guide itself cautions about unreliable earned value data. 1

For a worked review with invented figures, see the shutdown case study. Set the software cost against the return using turnaround software cost.

Why ROI claims fail review
ProblemExampleFix
No baseline"We saved two days" with no past stop to compareUse the planned and actual days of the last comparable stops
Scope changedA smaller stop looks fasterCompare per unit of scope, or the same scope
AttributionSeveral changes happened togetherList them all, and credit the program only with what a record supports
Hidden costsIgnoring training and planning effortInclude all costs over the same period
Unreliable dataEarned value built on poor progress dataCheck the data before you trust the indices

If you use earned value for the cost side, the GAO cost guide defines the measures: cost variance is earned value minus actual cost, and the cost performance index is earned value divided by actual cost. 1 The DOE FEMP maintenance guide estimates facility-level savings for preventive over reactive maintenance, but it is not a shutdown measure and should not be applied to one. 2

Measures

Which cost measures can a shutdown ROI use?

A shutdown ROI can draw its cost side from the standard earned value measures, budget at completion, cost variance, cost performance index and estimate at completion, which the HHS glossary and the GAO cost guide define. 4,1

Cost measures a program ROI can draw on
MeasureDefinitionSource
Budget at completionThe total budget planned to accomplish the work of a work package or projectHHS earned value glossary
Cost varianceEarned value minus actual cost; positive is favorableHHS earned value glossary
Cost performance indexEarned value divided by actual costHHS earned value glossary, GAO cost guide
Estimate at completionActual cost to date plus the estimate to complete; the GAO guide gives EAC = ACWP + (BAC - BCWP) / efficiency indexHHS earned value glossary, GAO cost guide

ROI itself is arithmetic on your own benefits and costs; no source fixes a typical value.

Visuals

Save the ROI charts

Two charts to share with finance. Click either for the full-size image.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What is shutdown program ROI?

The net gain from a shutdown program as a share of its cost over a stated period: benefit minus cost, divided by cost.

How do I calculate payback?

Divide the cost by the yearly benefit. A cost of 40,000 and a yearly benefit of 70,000 pays back in about 0.57 years, or 6.9 months.

What is the biggest benefit to count?

For most plants it is the days of downtime avoided, valued with your own finance figure for a production day. Count only what a record shows.

Is there a typical ROI for shutdown software?

There is no published benchmark, so this page gives none. Build your own from your baseline.

What data do I need?

Planned and actual schedule, hours and cost from past stops, rework and emergent work records, and the cost of the program. See the KPI guide.

Can I use earned value?

Yes, for the cost side: cost variance is earned value minus actual cost, and the cost performance index is earned value divided by actual cost; check the data first. 1

Why do ROI claims fail?

No baseline, a changed scope, several changes at once, hidden costs or unreliable data.

Where do overruns come from?

See why shutdowns go over budget and schedule delay causes.

Sources

Sources

The earned value definitions come from the US GAO cost guide. The DOE FEMP figure is facility-level and is not a shutdown measure. The formulas are standard arithmetic; the benefit table, the calculator defaults and every number in the worked example are working frameworks or invented placeholders. No customer outcome figures appear on this page.

  1. US Government Accountability Office, GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide (GAO-20-195G, March 2020)
  2. U.S. Department of Energy FEMP / Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, O&M Best Practices: Maintenance Approaches
  3. US Government Accountability Office, GAO Schedule Assessment Guide: Best Practices for Project Schedules (GAO-16-89G, December 2015)
  4. US Department of Health and Human Services, Earned Value Management, Appendix D: Glossary of Terms

See cost and schedule performance in one view

Book a demo and bring your shutdown budget. We will show earned value and forecast cost in the module.

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